Route 2 FI

观点

Route 2 FI

Route 2 FI

03-22 22:30

It's weird times, man. On one hand I feel like we're in a time where you'll get handsomely rewarded for buying the dip now, but on the other hand I feel like there isn't many good news to wait for. We have the ETFs, the institutions are here, the tech works perfectly, but yet, finding pmf for most protocols is really hard. As everyone else I am thinking about if the 4-year cycle is real or not. Can it really be this easy that we all buy $BTC at the bottom between the summer and October this year, and then ride happily into ATH together? In my opinion it won't be this easy. I think the next cycle will be even harder than the one we just had, and let's be honest, retail is barely here at all, it's just CT, whales, and institutions fighting with each others. Many CT people from 2021 are pivoting to AI/Claude-experts, and I don't blame them for skating to where the puck is going. Personally I've been enjoying that the market has been more quiet than usual, and I've spent some time traveling and catching up with friends IRL. So what am I doing in crypto atm? Some trades on Hyperliquid and Lighter (oil/SP500, delta neutral on LIT), xStocks on Kamino paired with shorts, still farming some perp DEXes like 01 and Reya, but I almost hope they delay launch until conditions are better. Some stables deployed in Aave, but most stables earning 0% yield atm. Sounds crazy, but the plan is to deploy it during the year when the right opportunity arises. I don't know what that is yet, but I am patiently waiting. Just reading a lot (books, newsletters), scrolling on Twitter and observing. It should be a good time to sharpen your edges and being ready when the time is right.